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To own Vita Coco, you need to believe in coconut water as a leading “better-for-you” beverage and in the brand’s ability to turn that positioning into durable earnings. In the near term, tariff and freight cost volatility still look more important for margins than the Rush Soccer deal, which mainly strengthens brand reach rather than materially changing the cost or revenue outlook right away.
The recent US$ tariff relief, cutting average import rates from 23% to 6%, stands out as the more material recent development next to the Rush partnership. Lower duties directly support gross margins and partially offset prior cost pressures from shipping and SG&A, which had been key concerns for a business concentrated in a single category and reliant on imported coconuts.
Yet even with these positives, investors still need to watch the risk that Vita Coco’s reliance on coconut based beverages could...
Read the full narrative on Vita Coco Company (it's free!)
Vita Coco Company's narrative projects $755.8 million revenue and $103.0 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Vita Coco Company's forecasts yield a $55.44 fair value, a 4% upside to its current price.
Four Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Vita Coco range from US$25.73 to US$67.94, underlining how far opinions can spread. When you set those views against the tariff and freight cost risks around imported coconuts, it becomes even more important to compare several independent valuations before deciding how this stock fits into your portfolio.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Vita Coco Company - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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