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To own Patria, you need to believe in its ability to scale an alternatives platform across Latin America and beyond while protecting fee margins and managing regional volatility. The new Global COO structure goes straight to that execution question, but does not by itself change the near term catalyst, which still centers on sustaining fundraising momentum in higher fee strategies. It also touches the biggest current risk, which is operational complexity from rapid expansion and acquisitions.
Among recent announcements, the authorization to repurchase up to 3,000,000 Class A shares stands out as most relevant here, because it sits alongside this operating model overhaul. Both developments are occurring as Patria expands across products and geographies, which keeps the focus on whether the firm can translate growing scale into durable, high quality earnings without letting integration and control risks build up.
Yet behind the promise of global scale, investors should be aware of how rising operational complexity could...
Read the full narrative on Patria Investments (it's free!)
Patria Investments' narrative projects $522.0 million revenue and $51.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires 9.5% yearly revenue growth and a $32.6 million earnings decrease from $84.2 million today.
Uncover how Patria Investments' forecasts yield a $16.57 fair value, a 6% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community value Patria between US$11.50 and US$17.00 per share, showing a wide range of personal assumptions. Set against this, the increased operational complexity from acquisitions and international expansion may weigh on how confidently you view Patria’s ability to convert scale into sustainable earnings, so it can be worth reviewing several of these perspectives before making up your mind.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Patria Investments - why the stock might be worth as much as 8% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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