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Equinox Gold (TSX:EQX) Valuation Check After Strong 1-Year Surge and Recent Pullback

Simply Wall St·12/19/2025 17:12:07
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Equinox Gold (TSX:EQX) has quietly turned into one of the better performing gold names this year, with the stock up roughly 48% year to date and more than doubling over the past year.

See our latest analysis for Equinox Gold.

The recent pullback, including a 6.2% seven day share price return decline, looks more like a breather after a powerful run. Year to date share price gains and a three year total shareholder return both point to strong, still building momentum around Equinox Gold’s growth story and improving risk perception.

If Equinox’s surge has you wondering what else might be gaining traction, now is a good time to scout fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as potential next wave candidates.

With shares still trading at a sizable discount to analyst targets and intrinsic value estimates despite rapid profit growth, investors now face a key question: is Equinox Gold still undervalued, or is the market already pricing in its next leg of expansion?

Most Popular Narrative: 14% Undervalued

With the narrative fair value sitting above Equinox Gold’s last close at CA$18.97, the market is being cast as behind the company’s next phase.

Successful ramp-up of Greenstone and Valentine mines, combined with the recent merger, positions Equinox Gold for significantly higher output and scale, supporting meaningful revenue and cash flow growth in the coming quarters as new production fully contributes.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how aggressive production gains, richer margins, and a compressed earnings multiple all fit together into that upside case? The narrative lays out a tightly linked set of growth, profitability, and valuation assumptions that might surprise you. Want to see which numbers turn a cyclical gold producer into a potential re rating candidate?

Result: Fair Value of $22.05 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, that upside case depends on smooth execution, with any prolonged grade underperformance at Greenstone or fresh disruptions at Los Filos quickly undermining the re rating thesis.

Find out about the key risks to this Equinox Gold narrative.

Build Your Own Equinox Gold Narrative

If you see the story differently, or want to dig into the numbers yourself, spin up a fresh Equinox view in minutes with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Equinox Gold research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

Looking for more investment ideas?

Equinox Gold might be compelling, but you will kick yourself later if you ignore other opportunities the Simply Wall St Screener is surfacing right now.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.