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To own Unicharm, you need to believe its core hygiene brands can convert modest, steady growth and high‑quality earnings into attractive long‑term compounding, even after a tough share price stretch and slower forecast growth than the broader Japanese market. Recent guidance cuts for 2025, softer profit margins and a relatively full P/E versus peers keep near‑term execution and input‑cost management in focus, while a lower dividend payout shifts more emphasis onto buybacks and internal reinvestment. Against that backdrop, the new Dry Washing Method looks more like a long‑term optionality play than a near‑term catalyst, but it does strengthen Unicharm’s sustainability story and could, over time, reinforce its competitive positioning in emerging markets. For now, the immediate drivers remain earnings delivery, cost discipline and capital allocation.
Unicharm's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 42%. Find out what it's worth.The Simply Wall St Community’s single fair value estimate clusters at about ¥1,547.91, while recent weakness in earnings momentum and reduced 2025 guidance give that optimism a real test and highlight why opinions can diverge. You can use these contrasting views to weigh the potential of innovations like the Dry Washing Method against softer near‑term expectations.
Explore another fair value estimate on Unicharm - why the stock might be worth as much as 72% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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