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For AECOM, the core investment case rests on its ability to convert a strong position in complex infrastructure and program management into steady earnings growth and cash generation. The Brisbane 2032 Delivery Partner win is high profile and long dated; it supports the long term backlog story but is unlikely to change near term catalysts or the key risk around sensitivity to government infrastructure budgets.
Among the recent announcements, AECOM’s award of a position on the U.S. GSA OASIS+ contract looks most relevant. Like Brisbane 2032, it leans into higher value advisory and program management work, but with a 10 year window and no contract ceiling, it ties more directly to the current catalyst of mix-driven margin improvement and recurring federal work.
Yet while these wins support the backlog, investors should still be aware of how reliant AECOM remains on government spending and policy shifts...
Read the full narrative on AECOM (it's free!)
AECOM’s narrative projects $18.8 billion revenue and $955.0 million earnings by 2028. This requires 5.4% yearly revenue growth and roughly a $280 million earnings increase from $674.7 million today.
Uncover how AECOM's forecasts yield a $142.83 fair value, a 47% upside to its current price.
Five fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$84 to US$151 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. Against that spread, the dependence on government infrastructure spending remains a central factor that could shape how those expectations play out over time, so it is worth exploring several perspectives before forming a view.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on AECOM - why the stock might be worth as much as 55% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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