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To own Gilead, you generally need to believe its HIV franchise can keep generating strong cash flows while newer drugs like lenacapavir and Trodelvy gradually broaden the base. The ARTISTRY 2 data support that HIV pillar by showing a once daily bictegravir lenacapavir pill maintained viral suppression versus Biktarvy, which may reinforce the near term HIV catalyst story, but does not remove core risks around pricing pressure and long term dependence on HIV earnings.
Among recent developments, the promotion of Keeley Wettan to Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Legal & Compliance stands out in the context of lenacapavir’s growing importance. Her long involvement with Gilead’s HIV launches, including lenacapavir, ties the legal and compliance organization more tightly to one of the company’s key future drivers, at a time when policy risk, reimbursement, and complex global access discussions are central to how those HIV catalysts ultimately play out.
Yet investors should also be aware that growing pricing pressure on HIV drugs could one day weigh more heavily on the very cash flows that support...
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Gilead Sciences' narrative projects $32.3 billion revenue and $10.0 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 3.8% yearly revenue growth and a roughly $3.7 billion earnings increase from $6.3 billion today.
Uncover how Gilead Sciences' forecasts yield a $130.63 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.
Some analysts were already assuming revenue could reach about US$33.9 billion and earnings US$10.8 billion by 2028, which is far more optimistic than views focused on pricing pressure and execution risk. This new bictegravir lenacapavir data may strengthen that bull case or challenge it if competition and reimbursement trends evolve differently than expected.
Explore 11 other fair value estimates on Gilead Sciences - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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