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Why Robinhood Stock Was Bumping Higher Today

The Motley Fool·12/16/2025 20:51:02
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Key Points

A bullish analyst note was the spark that lit the fire under Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ: HOOD) on Tuesday. Inspired by the update, investors snapped up shares of the next-generation brokerage, and they were trading up by more than 2% in mid-session action.

Predicting future success

The note was authored by Mizuho's Dan Dolev, In the analysis, Dolev reiterated his outperform (i.e., buy) recommendation and $172 per share price target on Robinhood's equity.

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According to reports, Dolev focused on prediction markets, a lucrative segment of the financial industry that has been very lively of late.

The pundit wrote that, compared to cryptocurrency brokerage Coinbase, the fresh money -- i.e., a client's capital earmarked specifically for prediction markets, rather than reallocated from existing investments -- proportion for Robinhood is larger, at around 50%.

Dolev estimated that Robinhood's run rate from prediction markets is $300 million, a figure that inspired him to raise both 2026 and 2027 revenue forecasts by 6% to 7%.

An adventurous brokerage

Robinhood is a very ambitious company, and it is clearly eager to expand into new segments -- it eagerly embraced crypto before it was commonplace, and it has already managed to build a healthy business with its prediction market operations.

It has already demonstrated a knack for extracting value from such explorations, and I think it'll continue to do so. I'm bullish on Robinhood's future, too, and I feel it's an important company well worth watching in the financial sector.

Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Coinbase Global. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.