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To own MINISO, you need to believe its IP-led, experiential stores can keep driving traffic and margins while expansion stays efficient and costs under control. The Milan and Dusseldorf flagships reinforce the short term growth catalyst around higher quality international store rollouts, but they also slightly amplify existing risks around overexpansion and execution in IP merchandising rather than changing them in a material way.
The most relevant recent announcement here is MINISO’s guidance for around 25% revenue growth in 2025 with operating profit of RMB 3.65–3.85 billion, because it sets a clear yardstick for whether these new European flagships are supporting the broader push toward higher earnings and better store productivity. Against that backdrop, investors may watch closely how experiential, IP-driven formats impact selling and administrative expenses as directly operated overseas stores become a larger share of the mix.
But while the new Milan and Dusseldorf stores look exciting, investors should still be aware that rising selling and labor costs could...
Read the full narrative on MINISO Group Holding (it's free!)
MINISO Group Holding's narrative projects CN¥31.7 billion revenue and CN¥4.9 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 19.4% yearly revenue growth and a CN¥2.5 billion earnings increase from CN¥2.4 billion today.
Uncover how MINISO Group Holding's forecasts yield a $26.87 fair value, a 34% upside to its current price.
Five MINISO fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$26.20 to US$44.06, showing wide disagreement among private investors. Against that spread, MINISO’s push into immersive, IP-led European flagships highlights both the upside of global expansion and the ongoing risk of higher operating costs weighing on margins, so it can pay to compare several viewpoints before deciding how this growth story fits your portfolio.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on MINISO Group Holding - why the stock might be worth just $26.20!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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