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To own Cogent, you generally need to believe its high‑capacity network can convert rising internet traffic into durable cash flows despite current losses and heavy leverage. The recent CFO share sale, in the context of a full year of insider selling and no insider buying, adds to perception risk but does not appear to alter the most immediate catalyst, which is the ramp of high‑margin wavelength and NetCentric revenue, or the biggest near term concern around dividend sustainability given weak earnings and negative equity.
The most relevant recent development alongside this insider activity is the Board’s decision on 5 November 2025 to cut the quarterly dividend to US$0.02 per share, after a series of prior increases earlier in the year. For shareholders, this step sits directly against the backdrop of Cogent’s high leverage, ongoing net losses and reliance on transition payments, and it feeds into the same question the insider selling raises: how secure current shareholder returns really are if EBITDA and free cash flow do not improve as planned.
But while the dividend cut may ease some balance sheet pressure, investors should be aware that Cogent’s elevated leverage and expiring T‑Mobile payments could...
Read the full narrative on Cogent Communications Holdings (it's free!)
Cogent Communications Holdings' narrative projects $1.2 billion revenue and $158.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 10.4% yearly revenue growth and a $374.5 million earnings increase from -$216.3 million today.
Uncover how Cogent Communications Holdings' forecasts yield a $31.18 fair value, a 37% upside to its current price.
Three members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see Cogent’s fair value between US$31.18 and US$43.39, well above the recent share price. You can weigh these differing views against the risk that high leverage and shrinking transition payments may constrain future cash flows and investor returns, and decide which narrative feels more convincing to you.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Cogent Communications Holdings - why the stock might be worth just $31.18!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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