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Why Marriott (MAR) Is Up 8.7% After Resilient Leisure Results And A Bigger Wellness Luxury Bet

Simply Wall St·12/16/2025 10:20:25
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  • Recently, Jim Cramer highlighted Marriott International’s strong quarterly performance and its CFO’s upbeat outlook, emphasizing resilient leisure travel despite pressures on business travel, including disruption from the US government shutdown.
  • At the same time, Marriott’s Luxury Group has been pushing deeper into wellness-focused experiences and branded residences, including preparing for the 2026 opening of W Riyadh, aligning the brand with long-term tourism ambitions under Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030.
  • With this backdrop of resilient leisure demand and Marriott’s push into wellness-led luxury, we’ll now explore how these updates influence its investment narrative.

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Marriott International Investment Narrative Recap

To own Marriott, you need to believe its asset light model, global pipeline and loyalty engine can keep fee income growing through travel cycles. The recent commentary on resilient leisure demand supports that near term, while pressure on business travel and sensitivity to macro conditions still looks like the biggest risk. Overall, the news does not materially change the key short term catalyst, which remains execution on rooms growth and RevPAR across North America and key international markets.

The most relevant update here is Marriott’s push into wellness led luxury and branded residences, including the planned W Riyadh opening. This sits neatly alongside the broader catalyst of diversifying high margin luxury and lifestyle offerings and expanding fee rich alternative revenue streams. For shareholders, the question is whether these experiential projects can deepen loyalty and pricing power enough to offset potential softness in more cyclical segments.

But beneath the excitement around wellness luxury and new flags, investors should be aware of the risk that persistent macro uncertainty and softer business travel could...

Read the full narrative on Marriott International (it's free!)

Marriott International’s narrative projects $29.5 billion revenue and $3.6 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 63.3% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.1 billion earnings increase from $2.5 billion today.

Uncover how Marriott International's forecasts yield a $292.12 fair value, a 5% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

MAR 1-Year Stock Price Chart
MAR 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Five fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$205 to US$292 per share, underscoring how differently you can assess the same business. Set against that spread, Marriott’s reliance on continued rooms growth and resilient RevPAR as core catalysts highlights why it may pay to compare several views on how travel demand could shape future performance.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Marriott International - why the stock might be worth as much as $292.12!

Build Your Own Marriott International Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.