Zegona Communications plc (LON:ZEG) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 364% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Zegona Communications is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.3x, considering almost half the companies in the United Kingdom's Telecom industry have P/S ratios below 2.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
See our latest analysis for Zegona Communications
Zegona Communications certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zegona Communications.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Zegona Communications' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 197% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.9% per year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 1.7% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Zegona Communications' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
Shares in Zegona Communications have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Zegona Communications' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Zegona Communications with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.