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To own GlobalFoundries, you need to believe its focus on differentiated, non-leading-edge nodes and specialty capacity can translate into durable demand and improving profitability, despite recent share price underperformance and ongoing capital intensity. Sam Franklin’s appointment as permanent CFO clarifies leadership but does not materially change the near term catalyst, which still centers on delivering against 2025 guidance, nor the key risk around high capex needs and potential pressure on free cash flow.
The announcement earlier this year of a US$575 million advanced packaging and testing center in New York, backed by government support, feels especially relevant here, as Franklin will be responsible for overseeing both the financial discipline and execution of such long duration projects. For investors, how effectively GlobalFoundries balances this kind of capacity expansion with returns and cash generation will likely shape sentiment around its differentiated foundry model more than any single leadership change.
But while expansion into advanced packaging could support AI related demand, investors should also be aware that...
Read the full narrative on GlobalFoundries (it's free!)
GlobalFoundries' narrative projects $8.6 billion revenue and $1.4 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 8.0% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $1.5 billion from -$115.0 million today.
Uncover how GlobalFoundries' forecasts yield a $39.43 fair value, in line with its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see GlobalFoundries’ fair value between US$30.14 and US$46.56, underlining how far opinions can spread. Set this against GlobalFoundries’ heavy capex requirements and the risk that free cash flow could tighten just as growth in core end markets slows, and you start to see why it helps to weigh several contrasting views on the company’s longer term execution and resilience.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on GlobalFoundries - why the stock might be worth as much as 20% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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