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    New Army, HHS AI Contracts Might Change The Case For Investing In C3.ai (AI)

    Simply Wall St·12/14/2025 20:17:46
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    • Earlier this month, C3 AI announced that the U.S. Army Rapid Capabilities and Critical Technologies Office selected its AI platform to power contested logistics, while the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services chose C3 AI to build a unified, secure data foundation across NIH and CMS using its agentic AI technology.
    • Together with recently earned FedRAMP Moderate authorization, these wins highlight C3 AI’s growing role as a trusted provider of secure, large-scale AI systems for sensitive federal missions in defense and healthcare.
    • We’ll now examine how the Army logistics contract, in particular, could reshape C3 AI’s investment narrative around federal growth.

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    C3.ai Investment Narrative Recap

    To own C3.ai, you have to believe its agentic AI platform can turn high profile wins in defense and healthcare into durable, recurring revenue, despite ongoing losses and revenue declines. The new Army logistics and HHS data contracts support the federal growth story, but do not yet resolve the immediate risk around weak top line trends, margin pressure, and execution issues following the recent sales reorganization.

    Among the latest developments, FedRAMP Moderate authorization looks most central to this Army logistics win, because it formally clears C3.ai’s platform for sensitive federal workloads. That accreditation aligns directly with one of the key catalysts for the stock: expanding adoption of C3.ai’s open, compliant AI platform across government agencies as pilots convert into broader production deployments.

    Yet, even with these wins, investors still need to be aware that C3.ai is running with widening losses and ...

    Read the full narrative on C3.ai (it's free!)

    C3.ai's narrative projects $613.6 million revenue and $80.3 million earnings by 2028.

    Uncover how C3.ai's forecasts yield a $14.67 fair value, a 4% downside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    AI 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    AI 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Fifteen members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see C3.ai’s fair value anywhere between US$13.00 and US$40.29, reflecting very different expectations. Before leaning on any one view, it is worth weighing those against the company’s recent revenue decline and loss profile, which could influence how quickly federal contracts translate into improved performance.

    Explore 15 other fair value estimates on C3.ai - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

    Build Your Own C3.ai Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

    • A great starting point for your C3.ai research is our analysis highlighting 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
    • Our free C3.ai research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate C3.ai's overall financial health at a glance.

    No Opportunity In C3.ai?

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.