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To own Fermi, you have to buy into a high‑risk build‑out story: a pre‑revenue, capital‑intensive power and AI campus that still needs long‑term customers to justify an 11 GW private grid. The termination of the US$150,000,000 construction advance tightens the spotlight on near‑term catalysts, shifting the focus from funding “optionality” back to concrete milestones like securing binding leases, firming up gas and nuclear project execution, and proving that 2026 power delivery is matched with contracted demand. The recent share price slump suggests the market now views tenant visibility and financing depth as more acute risks than before. On the positive side, the signed 200 MW Electric Service Agreement and progress on water‑saving cooling show that key physical and regulatory pieces of Project Matador are still moving forward.
However, one new risk now sits front and center that investors should not ignore. Fermi's share price has been on the slide but might be dropping deeper into value territory. Find out whether it's a bargain at this price.Six fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$3.50 to US$35.00, underlining just how far apart individual expectations are. That spread sits against a business with no current revenue, heavy losses and a key US$150,000,000 funding agreement recently pulled, inviting you to weigh very different views on Fermi’s ability to convert its big infrastructure plans into durable tenant commitments.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Fermi - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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