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To own BYD today, you really have to believe in its ability to turn strong but slowing profit growth into durable global scale, while managing higher expectations baked into a 21.2x earnings multiple. The Stingray deal fits neatly into that story: it reinforces BYD’s push to differentiate its vehicles through richer software and in-car experiences, a theme that could support pricing power but is unlikely to move near term financials on its own. By contrast, Mexico’s new tariffs on Chinese autos look far more relevant to current catalysts and risks, because they directly affect export economics and raise fresh questions about how far BYD can extend its international footprint without running into similar barriers elsewhere. Given the recent share price drift, markets seem more focused on these policy headwinds than on incremental feature upgrades.
But there is one trade-related risk in particular that investors should not overlook. Despite retreating, BYD's shares might still be trading 12% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.Twenty-four members of the Simply Wall St Community put BYD’s fair value anywhere from HK$111.59 to a very large HK$449.47, underlining how far apart expectations are. Set against rising tariffs on Chinese vehicles and questions over how fast international expansion can proceed, you are looking at a company where sentiment and policy decisions could matter as much as execution. This is exactly the kind of spread in opinions where it pays to compare several viewpoints before making up your mind.
Explore 24 other fair value estimates on BYD - why the stock might be worth just HK$111.59!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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