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To own PACS Group, you have to believe the company can keep converting high occupancy and revenue growth into sustainable earnings while managing a relatively young leadership bench and an active acquisition pipeline. The Sixth Amendment and default waivers take a major near term overhang off the table, restoring access to about US$500,000,000 of liquidity and easing covenant pressure, which should support PACS’s acquisition and capex ambitions rather than materially changing the core growth story today. The hires of an experienced Chief Compliance Officer and a new HR chief look aligned with that acquisitive model, tightening controls after a period of forbearance on the credit and lease side. The biggest near term risks remain execution on acquisitions, regulatory and reimbursement exposure in post acute care, and a high valuation after a very large share price run.
However, the covenant history and new flexibility introduce risks investors should understand in more detail. PACS Group's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued. Find out how large the opportunity might be.Three Simply Wall St Community members see PACS’s fair value anywhere from US$35.00 to about US$151.20, underscoring how far apart private investors can be. Set against recent covenant waivers and renewed acquisition capacity, that spread raises important questions about how much balance sheet risk you are comfortable with as the growth story evolves.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on PACS Group - why the stock might be worth over 4x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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