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To own Atai Beckley, you really have to believe that its psychedelic pipeline, led by BPL-003 and now EMP-01, can eventually justify a business that is still very small in revenue and deeply loss making. The new EMP-01 patent to 2043 does not change the near term story much, but it does improve long term visibility if the upcoming Phase 2a social anxiety data in early 2026 is supportive. In the short run, the bigger catalysts look unchanged: Phase 3 planning for BPL-003 in treatment resistant depression, and how efficiently Atai deploys the roughly US$185 million it has raised in recent follow on offerings. The flip side is clear too: ongoing losses, dilution and a relatively inexperienced board and management team still sit at the center of the risk profile.
However, the company’s heavy cash burn and recent dilution remain issues investors should not overlook. According our valuation report, there's an indication that Atai Beckley's share price might be on the expensive side.Simply Wall St Community members are split on fair value, from as low as US$0.05 to US$12 across 10 different views. When you set that against Atai Beckley’s continuing losses and reliance on future trial outcomes, it underlines how much your outlook on clinical risk and dilution can shape expectations for the stock’s performance.
Explore 10 other fair value estimates on Atai Beckley - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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