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To own Collegium, you have to believe its cash-generating pain and ADHD franchises can offset looming patent and pricing pressures while justifying current earnings expectations. The recent Zacks recognition and 52 week high do not change the central near term story: execution on Jornay PM growth versus the risk that opioid regulatory or reimbursement shifts weigh on volumes and margins remains the key tension to watch.
Among recent announcements, the company’s decision to raise 2025 net product revenue guidance to US$775 million to US$785 million is most relevant to this value focused attention. That higher revenue outlook, combined with a track record of positive earnings surprises, is a direct input into how investors weigh Collegium’s current valuation against the durability of its core pain portfolio and the contribution from Jornay PM.
Yet investors also need to be aware that heightened scrutiny of opioid prescribing and reimbursement could still...
Read the full narrative on Collegium Pharmaceutical (it's free!)
Collegium Pharmaceutical's narrative projects $695.3 million revenue and $131.4 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Collegium Pharmaceutical's forecasts yield a $46.80 fair value, in line with its current price.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$46.80 to US$150.56, showing just how far apart individual views on Collegium’s worth can be. You should weigh those opinions against the central risk that future opioid regulation or payer pressure could challenge today’s strong earnings and cash flow story.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Collegium Pharmaceutical - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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