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To own Las Vegas Sands, you need to believe in the long term appeal of Asian integrated resorts, particularly Macao and Singapore, as the core earnings engine. The key near term catalyst remains execution and margin recovery in Macao, while the biggest risk is that Macao demand and profitability lag expectations. The recent insider sale, rising short interest and conference appearance do not materially change those fundamental drivers in the short run.
Among the recent developments, the Macquarie Asia Conference 2025 appearance ties in most directly, reinforcing Las Vegas Sands’ shift to an Asia focused portfolio after selling its Las Vegas assets in 2022. For investors, that context matters more than trading activity because it connects directly to the medium term catalysts in Macao and at Marina Bay Sands, where reinvestment and capacity expansion are central to the company’s investment case.
Yet investors should be aware that Macao market growth and margins may not recover as quickly as some expect, especially if...
Read the full narrative on Las Vegas Sands (it's free!)
Las Vegas Sands' narrative projects $14.1 billion revenue and $2.5 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 6.8% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.1 billion earnings increase from $1.4 billion today.
Uncover how Las Vegas Sands' forecasts yield a $65.85 fair value, in line with its current price.
Seven fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$2 to about US$132 per share, showing very different views on Las Vegas Sands. Against that backdrop, Macao’s slower than hoped for market growth and margin pressure could be a key swing factor for how the company’s performance ultimately lines up with these expectations.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Las Vegas Sands - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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