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To own Ollie’s, you need to believe its closeout model, expanding store base, and customer loyalty can keep translating into solid revenue and earnings, even as traditional retail shifts. The near term catalyst is the upcoming Q3 2026 earnings release, where expectations are already elevated; the main risk is that tighter inventory management across suppliers gradually reduces the quality and quantity of closeout deals. This latest news does not materially change that risk, but it does sharpen focus on execution.
The most relevant recent development here is the Q3 2026 earnings announcement scheduled before the market open on December 9, 2025, with analysts projecting strong year on year growth and potential upside versus consensus. How Ollie’s performs against those expectations, and what it says about store openings and margins, will matter far more to the stock’s near term direction than the Feeding America partnership, even if that program reinforces brand loyalty and customer engagement.
Yet while expectations look high, investors should be aware of how dependent Ollie’s is on a steady flow of closeout inventory...
Read the full narrative on Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (it's free!)
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings' narrative projects $3.6 billion revenue and $341.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 13.3% yearly revenue growth and a $128.0 million earnings increase from $213.3 million today.
Uncover how Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings' forecasts yield a $146.60 fair value, a 23% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently estimate fair value for Ollie’s anywhere between about US$75 and an extreme outlier above US$4,000, underlining how far opinions can stretch. Against that backdrop, the key question is whether Ollie’s closeout driven model and planned store growth can keep supporting the kind of earnings progress implied by these varied views.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings - why the stock might be worth 37% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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