Endava plc (NYSE:DAVA) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 77% loss during that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Endava may still be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.7x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Endava certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Endava
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Endava's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 59%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 88% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 34% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Endava is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
Endava's P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Endava's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Endava with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Endava. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.