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For Amylyx, the big picture an investor needs to buy into is that the company can turn its ALS and metabolic disease pipeline into a sustainable business before its cash and market goodwill wear thin. The fresh Phase 1 LUMINA data for AMX0114, with no treatment-related serious adverse events in the first cohort, modestly improves sentiment around the ALS franchise, but the main near term catalyst still looks to be the Phase 3 LUCIDITY readout for avexitide in post bariatric hypoglycemia, guided for the first half of 2026. Recent equity raises have extended the cash runway, while also diluting shareholders after a very large year to date share price move. The core risks remain: ongoing losses, no meaningful revenue yet, and reliance on clinical success to justify the current valuation.
However, one key funding and dilution risk is easy to miss at first glance. According our valuation report, there's an indication that Amylyx Pharmaceuticals' share price might be on the expensive side.Fair value estimates from 1 Simply Wall St Community member cluster at US$0, showing how far some private investors sit from current pricing. Set against Amylyx’s recent share price surge and persistent losses, these contrasting views underline why it can help to weigh multiple scenarios before forming your own stance on the company’s future.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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