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To be a shareholder in Lincoln National, you need to believe that its shift toward more capital efficient products and digital modernization can offset legacy variable annuity and Retirement Plan Services headwinds. The appointment of Nilanjan Adhya as Chief AI, Data and Analytics Officer supports the technology modernization catalyst, but does not directly change the near term risks tied to legacy guarantees and structural outflows.
Among recent developments, Lincoln’s consistent US$0.45 per share quarterly common dividend stands out, given that it is not well covered by free cash flow. For investors, this highlights the tension between returning capital to shareholders and preserving balance sheet flexibility while the company is still working through legacy product exposure and technology upgrades.
Yet even as Lincoln leans into AI and digital tools, investors should be aware that its legacy variable annuity guarantees still have the potential to...
Read the full narrative on Lincoln National (it's free!)
Lincoln National’s narrative projects $21.0 billion revenue and $1.6 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.2% yearly revenue growth and about a $0.6 billion earnings increase from $1.0 billion today.
Uncover how Lincoln National's forecasts yield a $44.00 fair value, a 3% upside to its current price.
Three members of the Simply Wall St Community currently value Lincoln National between US$28.99 and about US$112.76 per share, reflecting a wide spread of expectations. When you weigh those views against the company’s push to embed AI and data into its operations, it underlines how differently people assess the long term payoff from Lincoln’s modernization efforts and why it can help to consider several viewpoints before making your own judgement.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Lincoln National - why the stock might be worth 32% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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