There wouldn't be many who think Nissui Corporation's (TSE:1332) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.6x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Japan is similar at about 14x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Recent times have been advantageous for Nissui as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Nissui
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Nissui's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 30% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 70% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 5.3% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 9.1% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that Nissui is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Nissui's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Nissui (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Nissui. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.