Vornado (VNO) Valuation Check After 18% Year-to-Date Share Price Decline

Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) has quietly drifted lower again, with the stock down roughly 6% over the past month and more than 18% this year, and that slide raises a fresh valuation question.

See our latest analysis for Vornado Realty Trust.

At a latest share price of $34.82, Vornado’s roughly 18 percent year to date share price decline has chipped away at the strong three year total shareholder return of about 61 percent, suggesting momentum has cooled as investors reassess office risk and income durability.

If Vornado’s reset has you rethinking your real estate exposure, this could be a good moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as potential fresh ideas beyond the REIT space.

With shares now trading below analyst targets and at a sizeable intrinsic value discount, investors face a key question: Is Vornado a mispriced recovery play in a challenged office market, or is the market already discounting its future growth?

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 12.5% Undervalued

With Vornado Realty Trust closing at $34.82 versus a narrative fair value of $39.80, the current discount reflects surprisingly ambitious long term assumptions.

The analysts have a consensus price target of $37.857 for Vornado Realty Trust based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $46.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $30.0.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what justifies such a wide range of outcomes? Behind this fair value lies muted revenue growth, razor thin margins and an eye opening earnings multiple.

Result: Fair Value of $39.80 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, this recovery story could be derailed if remote work pressures persist and if Penn District leasing or redevelopment economics fall short of expectations.

Find out about the key risks to this Vornado Realty Trust narrative.

Build Your Own Vornado Realty Trust Narrative

If you see the numbers differently or want to dig into the assumptions yourself, you can build a personalised view in just minutes, Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Vornado Realty Trust research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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