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To stay in Country Garden now, you have to believe the court‑sanctioned offshore restructuring, onshore bond changes and equity-linked measures can collectively stabilise a heavily stressed balance sheet while the core development business remains viable despite shrinking scale and ongoing losses. The offshore scheme and loan capitalisation look material for near term catalysts, because they directly address default risk and liquidity pressure that previously dominated the story, even if the company is still unprofitable and flagged at risk of default. At the same time, November’s contracted sales of about RMB 2.35 billion and leadership changes suggest operations are continuing, but not yet transforming the earnings picture. The bigger question for shareholders is whether this financial reset reduces the chance of further dilution or disorderly asset sales.
However, the debt load and risk of further dilution are still issues investors should understand. Insights from our recent valuation report point to the potential undervaluation of Country Garden Holdings shares in the market.Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Country Garden Holdings - why the stock might be worth just HK$0.84!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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