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To own Ducommun, you need to believe in its ability to convert defense and commercial aerospace demand into profitable growth while managing meaningful execution and customer concentration risks. The new US$650 million credit package strengthens short term liquidity, but does not fundamentally alter near term exposure to Boeing and defense program timing or the execution risk around ongoing facility moves.
This refinancing follows management’s recent comments about preparing balance sheet capacity for future acquisitions, aligning with the catalyst of scaling higher margin engineered products and aftermarket. At the same time, higher secured debt and leverage covenants add another layer of financial discipline around how aggressively Ducommun can pursue deals tied to its growth ambitions.
Yet investors should be aware that tighter leverage covenants mean less room for error if aerospace demand or facility transitions do not unfold as expected...
Read the full narrative on Ducommun (it's free!)
Ducommun's narrative projects $987.5 million revenue and $84.8 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Ducommun's forecasts yield a $106.25 fair value, a 18% upside to its current price.
Two Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Ducommun cluster between US$106.25 and about US$146.59, highlighting how far apart individual views can be. When you set those side by side with the company’s reliance on defense and commercial aerospace cycles, it underlines why many investors look at several different opinions before deciding how resilient the growth story might be.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Ducommun - why the stock might be worth just $106.25!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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