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To own shares in Constellium, it's important to believe in the growing global demand for lightweight, sustainable aluminum solutions and the company's ability to capitalize on this shift, particularly as it expands into packaging and high-performance materials. The recent 11% revenue increase paired with softer earnings per share has not materially shifted the company's biggest short-term catalyst, growing end-market adoption, though it does keep margin sensitivity and energy cost volatility at the forefront as the primary risk.
The extension of Constellium's long-term partnership with Embraer offers context for this quarter’s revenue growth, reinforcing sustained demand from the aerospace sector. This supports optimism around shipment volumes but keeps the focus tight on Constellium's exposure to possible demand weakness in its key end markets, especially as the industry outlook remains subject to rapid change.
In contrast, if shipment declines in the automotive or aerospace segments persist beyond current expectations, investors should be aware of how quickly revenue resilience might change…
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Constellium's narrative projects $9.9 billion revenue and $448.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 9.3% yearly revenue growth and a $416.3 million earnings increase from $32.0 million today.
Uncover how Constellium's forecasts yield a $20.12 fair value, a 20% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community see Constellium's fair value between US$6.40 and US$42.24, with the highest estimate more than six times the lowest. In light of these wide opinions, remember that ongoing demand from markets like aerospace can shape Constellium's future risk and reward profile in ways each investor weighs differently.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Constellium - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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